Third Quarter 2022: Wake Me Up When September Ends Hotter-than-expected inflation downed hopes of a sustained market rally during the third quarter, as equity and fixed income markets sold off in tandem. Global stocks began the quarter with a modest rise, as financial conditions loosened on the promise of an economic soft landing whereby inflation … Continue reading Third Quarter 2022 Market Snapshot
Second Quarter 2022: Nowhere to Run – Nowhere to Hide Major U.S. and global equity indices have shed almost a fifth of their value in the first half of 2022, the third-worst start to the year in the last century for U.S. stocks. Bonds, which have typically acted as a ballast in past selloffs, are … Continue reading Second Quarter 2022 Market Snapshot
First Quarter 2022: Rising Prices, Rising Rates, Rising Tensions The stock market’s mild single-digit dip in the first quarter concealed wide swings in bond and commodity markets as investors dealt with the highest inflation readings in 40 years, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and a tightening Federal Reserve that increased their number of projected rate hikes … Continue reading First Quarter 2022 Market Snapshot
Fourth Quarter 2021: There Is No Alternative Global markets shrugged off supply-chain issues, various Covid-19 variants, and higher inflation in the fourth quarter to finish positive for the year, as the bull market that started in the spring of 2020 rolled on. Large-capitalization U.S. stocks continued their dominance as the S&P 500 ticked off 70 … Continue reading Fourth Quarter 2021 Market Snapshot
Third Quarter 2021: Dollar Tree Breaks the Buck After a strong start to the first half of the year, investors turned cautious during the summer as supply constraints, inflation, and the Delta variant impacted global markets. Global equities ended the quarter in roughly the same place they began, but the surface-level stillness hid the churn … Continue reading Third Quarter 2021 Market Snapshot
Second Quarter 2021: Inflation, So Hot Right Now The word of the quarter was “transitory” as investors tried to decipher the root cause behind the highest inflation readings in decades. Despite some dire predictions about the return of stagflation and a 5.0% annualized inflation increase in May, the verdict of the market suggested that inflation … Continue reading Second Quarter 2021 Market Snapshot
First Quarter 2021: Does the Game Have to Stop? A bland return of 1.4% for a global 60/40 portfolio hid significant churn beneath the surface in the first quarter. Investors turned their attention from work-from-home companies that had soared in 2020 and rotated to shares of companies ready for the re-opening economy. Value-oriented, small-cap, and … Continue reading First Quarter 2021 Market Snapshot
Sellwood’s February 2021 Market Snapshot is available for download.
Sellwood’s January 2021 Market Snapshot is available for download.
Fourth Quarter 2020: Hindsight is 2020: What Now? An optimistic fourth quarter capped a wild and turbulent year in the capital markets. The stock market, which had rallied since the March lows on the back of unprecedented global fiscal and monetary stimulus, was given another boost in November as news broke on the success of … Continue reading Fourth Quarter 2020 Market Snapshot