Download our 2018 Capital Market Assumptions White Paper. Sellwood Consulting’s 2018 Capital Market Assumptions are available. These 10-year, forward-looking assumptions of asset class return, risk, and correlation are the key input variables for our asset allocation work on behalf of clients. We update our assumptions annually. Over the course of 2017, investors’ shifting preferences away from bonds … Continue reading 2018 Capital Market Assumptions
Loathe as we are to give any thought to short-term returns, the recent market correction has been interesting. The S&P 500 index peaked on January 26, before dropping approximately 2% over the next few trading sessions, and then dropping more precipitously during the week of February 5. On February 8, the market had declined by … Continue reading Postmortem of a Correction
Today marks the 10th anniversary of the birth, or at least the conception, of the Global Financial Crisis. The US equity market peaked, before the Global Financial Crisis began, on October 9, 2007.
Sellwood Consulting’s 2017 Capital Market Assumptions are available. These 10-year forward looking assumptions of asset class return, risk, and correlation are the key input variables for our client asset allocation work.
UK voters shocked the world last night by voting, in a surprise, to leave the European Union. The nation will be the first to leave the 28-nation bloc, The vote was followed by British Prime Minister David Cameron’s announcement that he will resign, and by global equity markets declining meaningfully. In the UK itself, substantial losses early in the day have partially reversed course,
Sellwood Consulting’s 2016 Capital Market Assumptions are available. These 10-year forward looking assumptions of asset class return, risk, and correlation are the key input variables for our client asset allocation work, including mean-variance optimization, Monte Carlo analysis, and risk budgeting.
Sellwood Consulting’s 2015 Capital Market Assumptions are now available. These 10-year forward looking assumptions of asset class return, risk, and correlation are the key input variables for our client asset allocation work, including mean-variance optimization, Monte Carlo analysis, and risk budgeting.
It was five years ago yesterday – March 9, 2009 – that the US stock market tumbled to its lowest point in the 2008/09 market crash. The five years that followed have seen a tremendous reinflation of asset values for risky assets.
Sellwood Consulting’s 2014 Capital Market Assumptions are now available. These assumptions are the primary input for our asset allocation work for clients, being the input variables for mean-variance optimization, Monte Carlo analysis, and risk budgeting.
This year, though we have made incremental enhancements to our methods for gauging the future value of assets, we have maintained our focus on the primary, reliable drivers of risk and return. Our assumptions are anchored in the empirical facts
Readers of our 2013 Capital Market Assumptions will note that our return expectations are in many cases lower than the expectations that our consultant peers publish. We are aware that our assumptions are different from the crowd, but we believe that our assumptions are more grounded and realistic than those published by the majority of our peers.